Wealth Creation Through Natural Resources
The Federal Reserve finds itself in a tricky situation heading into Wednesday’s FOMC announcement. There has been a considerable build-up over the past several weeks (primarily from strong employment reports) which has led to the market anticipating a 25 basis … Continued
Aside from drawing arrows in Christmas colors the following chart serves to highlight an unmistakable relationship that has existed between Treasury yields and gold during the last year: 30-year US Treasury Bond Yield (top) vs. Gold (bottom) The inverse … Continued
Here’s the quick take on gold via Morgan Stanley: Clearly a bearish view on gold from MS, also not a very deep view either. This is a classic example of what Howard Marks calls “first level thinking”. All … Continued
This tweet from @FxMacro pretty much sums up the current situation: Perhaps most notable about these four equally probable paths for monetary policy aside from the fact that additional QE is back on the table, is that it highlights the … Continued
As John Maynard Keynes famously stated “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, Sir?”. I am very close to changing my mind on the direction of long-term interest rates. The chart of the 10-year US Treasury … Continued
The EUR/USD currency pair is fast approaching a key technical crossroads : The ~1.15 level represents support/resistance from January/February and also roughly equates to a 50% retracement of the entire December-March decline from 1.2556 to 1.0462. One can also … Continued
The ultra-strong US dollar (USD) is making its presence felt throughout the globe and is on the verge of wreaking havoc on a much larger scale. A premature Fed rate hiking cycle could be the catalyst to send the USD into … Continued
We’ve written on this topic before and I am compelled to make this point again, even more emphatically. While persistent deflationary conditions that last for years are certainly not bullish for gold, the threat of deflation IS actually bullish for gold. … Continued
Realized volatility in gold has dropped by 50% in the last month and is at the lowest levels since last October (just before gold fell nearly $100/oz): GLD rolling 7-day average true range (ATR) at bottom has fallen 50% … Continued
Some scientifically curated links for your reading pleasure… Tim Duy’s Fed Watch: Game On WSJ: India’s Gold Buying to Pick Up After Budget Daily Speculations: What is a Trader, Victor Niederhoffer The Contrarian Corner: Mute the Fed Steenbarger: A … Continued