Wealth Creation Through Natural Resources
With key swing states Florida and Ohio falling to Trump the New York Times is gauging the probability of a Trump win at more than 95% (a virtual certainty that he will be the next US President at this point): … Continued
While the futures action is relatively calm this morning, I will take some time to share 3 charts which tell an important story. The first is the chart of total world trade volume: It’s interesting to note that world trade … Continued
Tomorrow the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release its statement from its most recent meeting followed by a press conference from Fed Chair Janet Yellen. Currently the market is not expecting a hike from the Fed tomorrow, however, there … Continued
For the last 3 week U.S. equities have traded in a historically extreme narrow trading range; heading into today’s session the S&P 500 had spent the last 13 trading sessions trapped within a .74% trading range. Today the tightest trading … Continued
Since the post-BREXIT volatility spike (which lasted for two trading sessions) a funny thing has happened, volatility has completely collapsed. The Russell 2000 is on streak of 13 trading sessions within a ~2% trading range with several trading sessions seeing … Continued
I posted the following tweet yesterday and was surprised at the amount of attention which it received: I can’t recall the last time I received 26 retweets and 42 likes on a tweet. However, when I say “highly significant” … Continued
A fascinating note and chart of the gold/S&P 500 ratio from All Star Charts: Gold/S&P 500 (Weekly – 6 year chart) “Gold was in a downtrend vs the S&P500 since the highs in 2011 until February when the ratio … Continued
One of the most surprising events in recent market history is taking place with a shocking British vote to leave the EU. Markets were quite certain that Britain would remain in the EU just a few hours ago and have … Continued
We live in interesting times. The S&P 500 has undergone a garden variety pullback in the last few days after reaching a fresh all-time high on a total return basis (including dividends) last week. Meanwhile, the VIX has rocketed higher … Continued
Since the beginning of the year realized volatility in the S&P 500 has dropped ~60% as the leading U.S. equity index experiences its longest streak of days without a 1%+ move in two years: SPY (Daily) 20-day rolling … Continued