Wealth Creation Through Natural Resources
Implied volatility in gold and oil (as measured by the GVZ and OVX) has begun to collapse in the last couple of weeks, falling to the lowest levels in more than two years: GVX/OVX/VIX (Daily) While gold has steadily moved … Continued
For the last 3 week U.S. equities have traded in a historically extreme narrow trading range; heading into today’s session the S&P 500 had spent the last 13 trading sessions trapped within a .74% trading range. Today the tightest trading … Continued
We live in interesting times. The S&P 500 has undergone a garden variety pullback in the last few days after reaching a fresh all-time high on a total return basis (including dividends) last week. Meanwhile, the VIX has rocketed higher … Continued
Since the beginning of the year realized volatility in the S&P 500 has dropped ~60% as the leading U.S. equity index experiences its longest streak of days without a 1%+ move in two years: SPY (Daily) 20-day rolling … Continued
After going absolutely bonkers back in August (rising from 10.88 to 53.29) and accomplishing one of the sharpest and fastest rises in its history, the VIX has reverted to form and is on the verge of declining for a record … Continued
As illustrated by the following 2 graphics US equity investors have gone from greed to fear in exactly one month despite a relatively small movement in the market (3% in the S&P 500): While the recent price action, flattening … Continued
Rob Hanna over at quantifiable edges has an excellent post up this morning which highlights what has historically happened when there are large intraday rallies such as the one we saw on Friday which are followed by tight consolidations like we … Continued
The most bullish aspect of the recent equity market environment has been relatively tame sentiment. Only now after a 100+ S&P point rally within just 2 weeks is sentiment beginning to turn optimistic again: Source: CNN Money Fear & Greed … Continued
Lots of quality material to read over this weekend: Peter L. Brandt: The NYSE Composite is forming a near textbook continuation H&S pattern, get ready for a big upside move in US equities. Barron’s: “Regardless of the reason, if banks aren’t … Continued