Daily Commodity Chart Wrap

Daily Commodity Chart Wrap 3/3/2015:

 

S&P 500 vs. Brent Crude Oil Since 2008

Stocks_and_Brent

After being positively correlated during the 2008-2012 time period, Brent crude oil and US equities have markedly diverged in the past couple of years

 

Gold (Daily)

 

Gold_Daily_3.3.2015

Gold continues its messy oscillation around the $1200 psych level. Today’s $20 range formed a relatively large bodied spinning top candlestick. The recent upturn in GVZ (CBOE Gold Volatility Index) may be foreshadowing that a large directional move is imminent. Resistance: $1220, $1240 Support: $1200

 

% of Country’s Total Exports Consumed by China

 

Exports_Consumed_by_China

Australia is by far the country most leveraged to China

 

WTI Crude Oil (Daily) with implied (above) and realized volatility (below)

 

WTI_OVX_ATR

WTI crude continues to tightly gravitate to $50/barrel (50-day moving average) as realized volatility collapses. Interestingly enough implied volatility (OVX) remains at extraordinarily elevated levels.