Wealth Creation Through Natural Resources
We are seeing something that’s never before happened in gold futures; commercials (producers, swap dealers, etc.) are getting longer (net long 25,866 contracts or slightly more than US$3 billion), while managed money futures traders (hedge funds, CTAs, etc.) are getting … Continued
This afternoon’s CFTC Commitment of Traders report reveals that last Friday’s disappointing U.S. employment report led to a surge in net length by large speculators (CTAs, hedge funds, etc.) in gold futures: There are a few aspects of this … Continued
Gold found support exactly where it was supposed to this morning: Gold (Daily) The confluence of the rising 50-day simple moving average, the lower 2-standard deviation Bollinger Band, a key pivot point ($1212), and good old fashioned support turned … Continued
Gold producers haven’t been this short of gold futures since a couple of months before the April 2013 gold crash: Gold (5-year) with Commitments of Traders (below) So we have hedge funds and CTAs heavily long on one side … Continued
Since breaking higher from a bullish pennant pattern on March 3rd gold has run into stiff resistance above $1275: Gold (Daily) The bearish divergences have begun to pile up and the volume & volatility expansion we have seen since … Continued
Despite a ~$70/ounce pullback since trading up to $1263.90 a couple of weeks ago gold futures speculators continued to pile on bullish bets, reaching the highest levels of net speculative length since last October: Large & small speculators combined … Continued
Gold spent last week consolidating the gains of the previous weeks within a pennant pattern: Gold (Daily) It is likely that we will have another few days of consolidation ahead before gold’s next large directional move takes place. While … Continued
This afternoon’s Commitments of Traders report released by the CFTC was surprising in that we learned that small speculators actually increased net short length during the week ending January 5th and large speculators did not significantly increase net length (which … Continued
Copper has suffered a painful decline of more than 30% since May: Copper (Daily) Meanwhile bearish sentiment has continued to grow stronger as price has fallen farther. However, there are some very good reasons why it may be time … Continued
Gold is well on its way down to an important area of potential support around $1,000/oz; there is a great deal of confluence and price memory in the upper $900s/lower $1000s: Gold (Monthly) Throw in potentially extreme CoT positioning … Continued