Crude Oil Faces Huge Test With Short Positions at Record Levels

posted in: Charts, crude oil, Energy | 0

After reaching the lowest levels since 2003 ($27.56) WTI crude oil futures rallied ~26% in 7 trading sessions:

 

WTI Crude Oil (Daily)

WTI_Daily_1.29.2016

This week’s rally stopped right at the downtrend drawn from the November peak and previous support from December – crude oil faces a huge test next week after rallying nearly 5% on record weekly volume

Not surprisingly this brisk rally comes as non-commercial futures traders (large speculators, traders, and hedge funds) have amassed the largest short position in crude oil futures on record:

 

WTI_short_contracts

Last week’s volume in crude futures was off the charts, however, until┬áprice can leap above previous support and the falling 50-day simple moving average near ~$36 the rally will remain guilty until proven innocent…

 

WTI Crude Oil (Weekly)

WTI_Weekly_1.29.2016