Wealth Creation Through Natural Resources
This is an interesting graphic courtesy of RBC illustrating a large drop-off in managed money (CTAs, commodity pool operators, etc.) positioning in commodity futures: After reaching extremely high net long exposure earlier last year before the crude oil crash, managed … Continued
Famed bond fund manager Jeffrey Gundlach gave a presentation at the New York Yacht Club today in which he reiterated a $1,400 target for gold by year end. From what I gather Gundlach has two primary tenets to his bullish … Continued
Via TD Securities equity research: Over the weekend, Continental Gold announced that its was on track to complete permitting for its Buriticá (100%) gold project in Colombia, by the end of Q2/15. Management suggested that for an update expected at … Continued
It now seems like eons ago but at the end of last year I published a post titled “6 Big Surprises for 2015” in which I laid out a series of seemingly unlikely market events which I felt were much likelier to occur … Continued
This is everything you need to know about today’s Federal Open Market Committee statement: “To support continued progress toward maximum employment and price stability, the Committee today reaffirmed its view that the current 0 to 1/4 percent target range for … Continued
GDX is up nearly 6% this week. Is this rally for real? From all indications the answer is a resounding YES! Here’s why: The chart pattern breakout from the multi-week ascending triangle is the real deal and targets a move … Continued
Gold marginally broke below support on Friday, breaking down from a small H&S top pattern: The breakdown from this pattern targets a test of the March lows ($1140-$1150). However, the “break” was not as clear or as powerful as we … Continued
The recent outperformance of the gold miners (GDX) relative to gold itself has been quite striking: My primary takeaways/interpretations of this recent outperformance are as follows: Investors are betting that gold is at the end of a cyclical bear … Continued
I came across two powerful China charts from J.P.Morgan this weekend: During the last decade the correlation between Chinese monetary conditions/nominal GDP growth and commodities is almost uncanny; the CRB bottomed at the exact month that China monetary conditions bottomed … Continued
Weekend Commodity Chart Wrap 4/18/2015… Gold with realized volatility (top) and implied volatility (bottom) Both realized and implied gold volatility have been in decline since the beginning of the year. The GVZ (CBOE Gold Volatility Index) is currently pricing … Continued